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Research methods

Prediction predicaments, part 1 (of 2): The “perfect program paradox”

Prediction predicaments, part 1 (of 2): The “perfect program paradox”

Understandably, when most of us think of perfection, we think of that “fast paced fun” game from the 80’s or...

Prediction predicaments, part 2 (of 2): The base rate problem

Prediction predicaments, part 2 (of 2): The base rate problem

        In September, 2013, at a meeting of the Global Counterterrorism Forum, the U.S. Secretary of State,...

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