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Blog posts

No control group, no big deal part 1 (of 2): Propensity score matching designs

No control group, no big deal part 1 (of 2): Propensity score matching designs

The world is a d@rn messy place.  Only a few pinpoints on our planet are laboratories capable of strict experimental...

No control group, no big deal, part 2 (of 2): Regression discontinuity designs

No control group, no big deal, part 2 (of 2): Regression discontinuity designs

Ethnically-diverse friends ≈ Positive cross-ethnicity attitudes Imagine this; you’re about to evaluate a P/CVE program, and a preliminary survey of...

Nested designs

Nested designs

Imagine this scenario… You’re conducting an evaluation or quasi-experiment of two different P/CVE programs that are being rolled out in...

Prediction predicaments, part 1 (of 2): The “perfect program paradox”

Prediction predicaments, part 1 (of 2): The “perfect program paradox”

Understandably, when most of us think of perfection, we think of that “fast paced fun” game from the 80’s or...

Prediction predicaments, part 2 (of 2): The base rate problem

Prediction predicaments, part 2 (of 2): The base rate problem

        In September, 2013, at a meeting of the Global Counterterrorism Forum, the U.S. Secretary of State,...

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